Webinar: Integrated Modeling for Roadway Condition Prediction



Many transportation system operations strategies are challenged by a lack of information about current and near-term future conditions. FHWA’s Road Weather Management Program has been working since 2015 towards developing a tool that incorporates real-time and/or archived data with results from an ensemble of forecast and probabilistic models, and fusing them together in order to predict the current and future overall road/travel conditions for travelers, transportation operators, and maintenance providers. This IMRCP project is currently in its third phase. In Phase 1, the research team developed a concept of operations and requirements. Phase 2 further specified, implemented, tested, and evaluated the concept in the Kansas City metropolitan area in cooperation with KC Scout. Now, Phase 3 will build upon the Phase 2 demonstration deployment in Kansas City, increase highway network coverage, add an additional (alternative) traffic model, operate the system through two winter seasons, evaluate the operational results, and update the system engineering documents. The project has already started and extends into the summer of 2020.


  • IMRCP Background and Objectives
  • Experience to Date
  • Potential Applications and Future Directions

Targeted Audience

DOT Maintenance and Traffic Operations personnel

Learning Objectives

Learn about the current capabilities of the IMRCP System and the potential benefits of holistic roadway condition predictive systems



Gabriel Guevara, Registered Professional Civil Engineer. Graduated from the University of Minnesota. I have over 25 years of transportation-related experience. I worked for 20 years for the Minnesota Department of Transportation where I acquired experience in the areas of Construction, Research, Traffic Engineering, Pre-design, Final Design, Passenger Rail Planning, and Maintenance Operations. I have spent the last eight years working for the USDOT/FHWA working as a Transportation Specialist managing Winter Maintenance and Connected and Automated Vehicle-related research projects. I am an active member of PIARC (World Road Organization) and TRB’s Winter Maintenance Committee.


Nancy Powell, KC Scout, Nancy Powell is the TMC Traffic Systems Supervisor at KC Scout. She joined Scout in 2004 as the first of two original Operators hired specifically for the TMC and became a Supervisor 4 years later. Nancy has played a significant role in the FHWA’s Road Weather Integration effort which began in early 2009. Since 2014, she has worked in the areas of administration, budget support, and contract management and procurement for Scout. Ms. Powell’s prior experience includes 20 years in Public Safety Dispatch software development, operations, and training. She holds a B.A in Communications and Education from the University of Missouri at Kansas City.

Kyle Garrett, Synesis Partners, Kyle Garrett is a founding Principal of the consulting services firm “Synesis Partners” and he has over thirty-five years of systems engineering and project management experience. In that time he has worked with transportation systems, information technology, wireless commerce, and nuclear power. He was a lead author of AASHTO’s Connected Vehicle Field Infrastructure Footprint Analysis and led the Connected Vehicle Pooled Fund Study DSRC-based road weather application development. He has also been extensively involved with road weather data systems such as FHWA’s Weather Data Environment and, now, its Integrated Modeling for Road Condition Prediction model.

Event Type

  • Webinar

Content Type

  • Presentation

Publishing Organization

  • NOCoE


  • Learning
  • Networking

Document Downloads

Project Website

View webinar recording on NOCoE YouTube Channel.

Issue Date
September 10th, 2018
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